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hydrologic
modeling:
model
integration
Model Integration
Critical Success Factors
Key Task Elements
Design of Integrated Modeling Environment
In water management
arena, models are abundant in numbers as well as in categories, ranging
from hydrology to water quality, economics to ecology. Due to this
multi-disciplinary nature of water management, a need for automated or
semi-automated connectivity among models of different functions and
types is necessary for rapid alternatives evaluation. In addition, an
integration of models increases the value and reliability of information
by
Models are inherently connected with data
and maps. Hence an integration of models also implies integration of
data and maps. As a result, an Integrated Information Environment (IIE)
can be considered as an umbrella environment where models, maps, data,
and expert judgment, which are used in making decisions can be
integrated. It should be noted such integration environment are also
called IME (Integrated Modeling Environment); IDE (Integrated Decision
Environment); or DSS (Decision Support Systems).
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Integrated
Information Environment (IIE)
Click
on this image to see an example of Model Integration |
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Critical
Success Factors:
The three critical success factors of a model integration task are:
- speed of water management alternatives
evaluation;
- accuracy and reliability of analyses;
- verifiability and quick replicability
of the analyses.
Key Task Elements:
The key elements of a model integration task are:
- Development and documentation of data
sharing and exchanges among different models used in the project,
including flow charts;
- Development of a semi-automated (full
automation may not be possible due to the need for modeler
interpretation and quality control checks) processes and linkage
programs for seamless linkage of different models;
- Development of necessary visualization
tools and quality control tools and processes to ensure that the
data exchange among models are accurate and reliable;
- Rapid evaluations of alternatives and
variations thereof using the semi-automated tools and proper
documentation of results;
- Provide specific model expertise and
coordinate among a diverse set of modelers with different needs to
ensure (a) consistency among modeling assumptions and shared data
sets; (b) accuracy and reliability of model results; (c)
interpretation and presentation of results to decision makers and
stakeholders;
- Consistency with the data standards,
adequacy of documentation, and ease of verification/replication of
results;
- Provide expertise for necessary model
development/modifications to be able to represent an alternative
with model input data;
- Attention to detail.
Based on experience, it has been found
that a suite of flexible stand-alone programs with minimum manual
intervention provide the best opportunity for accuracy, reliability, and
speed in multiple model linkage situations.
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Design of an IME
(Integrated Modeling Environment):
Once the concept for the IME has been agreed upon, the next step is to
develop a detailed design of the IME. This is an interactive and
iterative process. The design is a flow chart or layout of the entire
IME. It shows all the selected models and their databases, their
interaction with each other, the graphical user interface (GUI) for
running the models and accessing the databases, the graphics tools for
visually displaying data and model results, and editing tools for
viewing and editing data and model results. It is desirable to start
with a preliminary design and gradually develop the final design to
ensure that all elements necessary to make the IME functional are
included.
The design also must show any
FORTRAN/C-shell programming necessary to implement the IME. Because,
without powerful programming links or hook-ups among models and data,
the attempt to develop an IME would simply fail. It is our opinion that
without an outstanding programmer in the design and programming team,
implementation of the IME is impossible, because the power of the IME
lies in the infrastructure of models, data, and their links, not in how
pretty the GUI is. On the basis of the design of the IME, at this stage,
all the identified FORTRAN/C-shell programs are written and thoroughly
tested to ensure that they perform flawlessly. This is not an easy task
and it requires vision, creativity, and persistence.
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Copyright © 2001,
2002 WRIME, Inc. All Rights Reserved. |
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